The model compares the current point totals the sportsbook provides compared to what the expected point total should be, and the same for money lines and point spreads. When this line was at 43.5, the under was the bet, but now that it is at 41.5 the over is the bet to make here. This is a bad matchup for Seattle with Geno Smith at quarterback.

How To Read Nfl Las Vegas Odds

However, there are six teams on bye this week, so that means informative post there will only be 13 games on the NFL schedule this week. It also means that the league’s best team against the spread, the Cowboys (6-0 ATS) will be out of action. The Bills (4-2 ATS) and Chargers (4-2 ATS) will also be unavailable. In another interesting storyline, John Fox will play host to his old team, the Denver Broncos, who fired him last year even after being a very successful coach for the Broncos in his recent tenure.

Covering The Spread: Nfl Week 7 Betting Preview With Drew Dinsick

When you claim a bonus offer or promotion through a link on this site, Gaming Today may receive referral compensation from the sportsbook http://usidegaraj.md/why-nfl-betting-models-are-superior-to-betting-trends/ company. Although the relationships we have with sportsbook companies may influence the order in which we place companies on the site, all reviews, recommendations, and opinions are wholly our own. They are the recommendations from our authors and contributors who are avid sports fans themselves. After thrashing Washington in Week 6, the Chiefs have another inviting matchup against a weak defense in Week 7.

Buffalo averages just under 125 yards rushing per game and their defense is one of the league’s best. The Bills are third against the run (80.1 yards per game) and third in scoring defense (16.4 points per game). When you play good defense and run the ball in the NFL, good things usually happen. If they happen on Thursday night, Buffalo will enjoy its status as a division leader and the Bills will be that much closer to ending an 18-year playoff drought. Denver has had its share of issues on offense beginning with the quarterback.

Chicago Bears At Las Vegas Raiders

With both starting offensive tackles gone for the season due to injury, the Vikings need to find a way to run the ball and protect the quarterback. The Raiders had an extra week to prepare for the AFC South leader Houston. The Texans are coming off their first road win of the season, a triumph over Jacksonville. The Houston running game was solid as Lamar Miller led an attack that generated 181 yards on the ground. Houston’s defense harassed Jacksonville QB Blake Bortles to the tune of two sacks, an interception, and a fumble.

The Buccaneers (5-1 SU, 2-4 ATS) looked vulnerable at times against the Eagles and mobile quarterback Jalen Hurts on Thursday night. Sharps are betting on some similar cracks in the defense to show up this week for the Bucs against the Bears. While 46% of the bets are on the Bengals, so too is 65% of the money. It appears the books are afraid to move this line to 7, for fear that more money would come over the top on the Bengals. The Bengals are a sneakily good defensive football team with the offense to keep up with the Ravens.

It’s Carolina for me, and maybe we will even get a Robbie Anderson sighting. Six teams are on bye in Week 7, resulting in three less games on the schedule. Five of the 12 remaining games feature teams favored by a touchdown or more, with three of them favored by double-digits. On the flip side, Arizona has scored 31-plus points five times and is facing a Texans defense that tied for the sixth-worst mark by allowing 28.7 points per game.

Buccaneers Vs Bears Week 7 Nfl Betting Odds & Trends

When combined with the Falcons’ 11 turnovers, a +11 turnover margin helps one to see why head coach Dan Quinn and Atlanta have been so successful in 2016. Wide receiver Julio Jones showed no ill effects of a toe injury that plagued him near the end of the season when he caught nine passes for 180 yards and two touchdowns in the NFC Championship game. What really makes the Atlanta offense dangerous is the two-pronged attack at running back. Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman combined for 1,599 yards and 19 rushing touchdowns and another 883 and 5 in receiving yards and touchdowns. Freeman and Coleman are not so much complementary as they are alike. Coleman is a bigger, faster version of Freeman, who is much quicker and has a greater capacity for making defenders miss.