Monthly Archives: September 2021

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SciCast was a reputation-based combinatorial prediction market focusing on science and technology forecasting. Using real-money prediction market contracts as a form of insurance can also affect the price of the contract. For example, if the election of a leader is perceived as negatively impacting the economy, traders may buy shares of that leader being elected, as a hedge. The second market mechanism is the idea of the marginal-trader hypothesis.

US, Moneyline, or American odds are about how much you’re wagering if you bet $100 or how much you will win if you stake $100. With positive odds or plus odds, you simply need to divide the American odds or moneyline odds by 100. There are several odds types, but we will focus on American odds or moneyline odds (-110/+110) for this conversion.

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